BJP Set For Delhi Comeback? Exit Polls Say Yes

Aakhir Tak – In Shorts

Two more exit polls predict a BJP victory in Delhi, signaling a setback for AAP. Today’s Chanakya and CNX exit polls project a BJP sweep in the Assembly elections. The projections suggest Arvind Kejriwal’s AAP will struggle. Past elections show exit polls can be inaccurate. Vote counting is scheduled for February 8th.

Aakhir Tak – In Depth

The BJP is projected to return to power in Delhi, with two more exit polls indicating a comfortable victory over the ruling AAP. Both Today’s Chanakya and CNX exit polls, on Thursday, predicted that the BJP will sweep the recently held Assembly elections in the national capital by a huge margin. These projections provide a glimpse into potential shifts in Delhi’s political landscape.

These projections, if they hold, would mark a significant setback for AAP and its convener, Arvind Kejriwal, who resigned as Chief Minister last year amid corruption charges. The results of this election will have major implications for the AAP’s future.

However, past elections have shown that exit polls often get it wrong, and the numbers predicted by the pollsters must be taken with a pinch of salt. The final outcome could deviate significantly from these projections.

According to data from Today’s Chanakya, the BJP-led alliance is projected to win 51 seats, a substantial lead over AAP, which is forecast to secure only 19 seats. A party needs 36 seats to form the government in Delhi. This represents a major shift in predicted seat share compared to previous elections.

Today’s Chanakya poll indicates a clear margin for BJP+ with a seat range of 51 (plus minus 6), while AAP’s projections show them struggling with a seat range of 19 (plus minus 6). The rest of the seats, categorized as “others,” are expected to hold little influence, with a projection of 0 (plus minus 3) seats.

According to the CNX Exit Poll, the BJP is projected to secure between 49 and 61 seats in the Delhi Assembly elections, while the AAP is expected to win between 10 and 19 seats. The Congress is projected to secure 0 to 1 seat, and other parties are predicted to win no seats. These figures further reinforce the narrative of a potential BJP victory.

On Wednesday, a majority of exit polls predicted that the BJP, reduced to just single digits in the last two Delhi Assembly elections, is likely to return to the helm in the national capital after a hiatus of 27 years. This long-awaited comeback could mark a significant turning point for the BJP in Delhi.

The predictions spell a big setback for the AAP, which was eyeing a third term on the back of consecutive near-sweeps in the 2015 and 2020 elections. The Congress, down and out in Delhi since Sheila Dikshit’s ‘golden era’, has been best predicted to win 1–2 seats by the pollsters. The decline of the Congress further shapes the dynamics of this election.

An average of five exit polls shows that the BJP, coming on the back of thumping victories in Haryana and Maharashtra, is likely to secure 39 seats, comfortably above the halfway mark of 36. The AAP, battling a 10-year anti-incumbency, is likely to be reduced to 30 seats.

It’s now over to February 8 for the counting of the votes. The nation awaits the final results of these pivotal elections.

Aakhir Tak – Key Takeaways to Remember

Exit polls indicate a BJP comeback in Delhi, potentially leading to a significant defeat for AAP. BJP is poised to break a 27-year losing streak. Final results will be announced on February 8.

Aakhir Tak Editor-in-Chief

See Full Bio